Assessing the suitability of wind speed probabilty distribution functions based on wind power density

被引:50
作者
Celik, AN [1 ]
机构
[1] Mustafa Kemal Univ, Sch Engn & Architecture, Dept Mech Engn, Muhendislik Mimarlik Fak, TR-31024 Hatay, Turkey
关键词
wind speed probability distribution; Weibull wind speed distribution model; wind energy estimation; standard deviation in estimating the wind energy;
D O I
10.1016/S0960-1481(03)00018-1
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Three functions have so far predominantly been used for fitting the measured wind speed probability distribution in a given location over a certain period of time, typically monthly or yearly. In the literature, it is common to fit these functions to compare which one fits the measured distribution best in a particular location. During this comparison process, parameters on which the suitability of the fit is judged are required. The parameters that are mostly used are the mean wind speed or the total wind energy output (primary parameters). It is, however, shown in the present study that one cannot judge the suitability of the functions based on the primary parameters alone. Additional parameters (secondary parameters) that complete the primary parameters are required to have a complete assessment of the fit, such as the discrepancy between the measured and fitted distributions, both for the wind speed and wind energy (that is the standard deviation of wind speed and wind energy distributions). Therefore, the secondary statistical parameters have to be known as well as the primary ones to make a judgement about the suitability of the distribution functions analysed. The primary and secondary parameters are calculated from the 12-month of measured hourly wind speed data and detailed analyses of wind speed distributions are undertaken in the present article. (C) 2003 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:1563 / 1574
页数:12
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