A travel demand model for mainland Chinese tourists to Hong Kong

被引：83

作者：

Qu, HL

Lam, S

机构：

[1] San Francisco State Univ, Coll Business, Dept Hospitality Management, San Francisco, CA 94132 USA

[2] Hong Kong Polytech Univ, Dept Hotel & Tourism Management, Kowloon, Hong Kong

来源：

TOURISM MANAGEMENT | 1997年 / 18卷 / 08期

关键词：

China; Hong Kong; multiple regression; travel demand;

D O I：

10.1016/S0261-5177(97)00084-8

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

The purpose of the study was to determine what exogenous variables best explained the travel demand for Mainland Chinese tourists to Hong Kong. The 12 years (1984-1995) annual time series data of 'number of Mainland Chinese tourist arrivals', 'China disposable income per capita', 'consumer price indices in Hong Kong and China' and 'exchange rates' was used to develop a travel demand model. Seven exogenous variables were selected for the model through a literature review. An OLS multiple regression analysis was performed to identify the 'best' subset of seven exogenous variables to determine the demand model. The results showed that travel demand for Mainland Chinese tourists to Hong Kong could be explained by 'disposable income per capita' and 'relaxation of visa requirements'. (C) 1997 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：593 / 597

页数：5