Catastrophic outcomes in the economics of climate change

被引：3

作者：

Howarth, RB ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Dartmouth Coll, Environm Studies Program, Hanover, NH 03750 USA

来源：

CLIMATIC CHANGE | 2003年 / 56卷 / 03期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1023/A:1021735404333

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

Monte Carlo simulations by Tol (2003) suggest that there is a small but positive probability that climate change will impose catastrophic impacts on future society unless sufficient steps are taken to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. This paper critically evaluates this finding and its implications for policy analysis and decision-making.

引用

页码：257 / 263

页数：7

共 17 条

[1]

[Anonymous], 1972, UNCERTAINTY EXPECTAT

[2] ENTITLEMENTS, MISSING MARKETS, AND ENVIRONMENTAL UNCERTAINTY [J].

BROMLEY, DW .

JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS AND MANAGEMENT, 1989, 17 (02) :181-194

[3] Toward an economics of stewardship: the case of climate [J].

Brown, PG .

ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS, 1998, 26 (01) :11-21

[4]

Funtowicz S.O., 1990, UNCERTAINTY QUALITY, DOI DOI 10.1007/978-94-009-0621-1_3

[5] Sustainability and the intergenerational distribution of natural resource entitlements [J].

Gerlagh, R ;

Keyzer, MA .

JOURNAL OF PUBLIC ECONOMICS, 2001, 79 (02) :315-341

[6] Sustainability as opportunity [J].

Howarth, RB .

LAND ECONOMICS, 1997, 73 (04) :569-579

[7] SUSTAINABILITY UNDER UNCERTAINTY - A DEONTOLOGICAL APPROACH [J].

HOWARTH, RB .

LAND ECONOMICS, 1995, 71 (04) :417-427

[8] Economics, ethics, and climate policy: Framing the debate [J].

Howarth, RB ;

Monahan, PA .

GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE, 1996, 11 (04) :187-199

[9] Intertemporal social choice and climate stabilization [J].

Howarth, RB .

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENT AND POLLUTION, 2001, 15 (04) :386-405

[10]

HOWARTH RB, 2001, LONG TERM EC CLIMATE

← 1 2 →