A forecasting solution to the oil spill problem based on a hybrid intelligent system

被引:60
作者
Baruque, Bruno [2 ]
Corchado, Emilio [1 ]
Mata, Aitor [1 ]
Corchado, Juan M. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Salamanca, Dept Informat & Automat, E-37008 Salamanca, Spain
[2] Univ Burgos, Dept Civil Engn, Burgos 09006, Spain
关键词
Case-Based Reasoning; Oil spill; Self organizing memory; Radial Basis Function; Ensembles; Fusion algorithms; CONTINGENCY; MANAGEMENT; NETWORK; SUPPORT; STRAIT; DRIFT;
D O I
10.1016/j.ins.2009.12.032
中图分类号
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号
080201 [机械制造及其自动化];
摘要
Oil spills represent one of the most destructive environmental disasters. Predicting the possibility of finding oil slicks in a certain area after an oil spill can be critical in reducing environmental risks. The system presented here uses the Case-Based Reasoning (CBR) methodology to forecast the presence or absence of oil slicks in certain open sea areas after an oil spill. CBR is a computational methodology designed to generate solutions to certain problems by analysing previous solutions given to previously solved problems. The proposed CBR system includes a novel network for data classification and retrieval. This type of network, which is constructed by using an algorithm to summarize the results of an ensemble of Self-Organizing Maps, is explained and analysed in the present study. The Weighted Voting Superposition (WeVoS) algorithm mainly aims to achieve the best topo-graphically ordered representation of a dataset in the map. This study shows how the proposed system, called WeVoS-CBR, uses information such as salinity, temperature, pressure, number and area of the slicks, obtained from various satellites to accurately predict the presence of oil slicks in the north-west of the Galician coast, using historical data. (C) 2010 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:2029 / 2043
页数:15
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