Chance discovery and scenario analysis

被引：17

作者：

McBurney, P ^{[1
]}

Parsons, S

机构：

[1] Univ Liverpool, Dept Comp Sci, Liverpool L69 7ZF, Merseyside, England

[2] MIT, Alfred P Sloan Sch Management, Ctr Coordinat Sci, Cambridge, MA 02142 USA

来源：

NEW GENERATION COMPUTING | 2003年 / 21卷 / 01期

关键词：

argumentation; chance discovery; ensembles; forecasting; scenarios;

D O I：

10.1007/BF03042322

中图分类号：

TP3 [计算技术、计算机技术];

学科分类号：

0812 ;

摘要：

Scenario analysis is often used to identify possible chance events. However, no formal, computational theory yet exists for scenario analysis. In this paper, we commence development of such a theory by defining a scenario in an argumentation context, and by considering the question of when two scenarios are the same.

引用

页码：13 / 22

页数：10

共 19 条

[1] AMGOUD L, 2001, P 8 INT WORKSH AG TH, P1
[2] [Anonymous], 1991, ART LONG VIEW
[3] [Anonymous], WISSENSCHAFTLICHE AB
[4] [Anonymous], 1902, ELEMENTARY PRINCIPLE
[5] CARTER TR, 2001, CLIMATE CHANGE 2001, V3, P145
[6] Fox J., 1998, Applications of uncertainty formalisms, P266
[7] Hamblin C. L., 1970, Fallacies
[8] HITCHCOCK D, 2001, P 4 BIENN C ONT SOC
[9] IRONSIDE JW, 1999, BIOLOGIST, V46, P172
[10] A LOGIC OF ARGUMENTATION FOR REASONING UNDER UNCERTAINTY
KRAUSE, P
AMBLER, S
ELVANGGORANSSON, M
FOX, J
[J]. COMPUTATIONAL INTELLIGENCE, 1995, 11 (01) : 113 - 131

← 1 2 →