Trends in waterbird numbers in the southern Rift Valley of Kenya

Each January since 1991, Volunteer teams have counted waterbirds at major wetlands in the southern Kenyan Rift Valley. There has been consistent coverage at Lakes Naivasha, Elmenteita, Nakuru and (since 1992) Bogoria. These lakes are shallow and. except for Bogoria, fluctuate greatly in extent; all but Naivasha are saline. Lake levels were moderately high in 1991-1993 but have been generally low since. Flamingo totals for the three saline lakes combined were more than one million from 1992-1994, but roughly halved each year since then. Greater Flamingos Phoenicopterus ruber made up between 0.7 and 4.1% of total flamingo numbers; other waterbirds made up between 2.7 and 10.2% of the overall total. Lakes Naivasha, Elmenteita and Nakuru together hold most of the non-flamingo waterbirds in the southern Rift; to compare trends for other species, we pooled totals for these sites. Significant, or near-significant, declines were evident for grebes, pelicans, cormorants, storks, gulls, rallids, kingfishers, terns and raptors. No group showed an overall increasing trend. At Dandora, a smaller site with stable water levels, these groups showed large annual fluctuations but no obvious declines. In most waterbird groups where numbers decreased, the probable cause was sustained low lake levels at Lake Nakuru; numbers at Lake Naivasha remained stable. Exceptions were rallids, kingfishers and raptors, where numbers steadily declined at Naivasha. There is a need to investigate local environmental causes of these changes for kingfishers and raptors, and to assess possible loss of breeding sites for rallids.