Perspectives on urban water infrastructure in China for the 21st century: SDMUWEIC model

被引：7

作者：

Junying Chu

Jining Chen

Ji Zou

机构：

[1] Tsinghua University,Department of Environmental Science and Engineering

[2] Renmin University of China,Department of Environmental Economics and Management

来源：

Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering | 2003年 / 12卷 / 4期

关键词：

SDMUWEIC; system dynamics; investment; water infrastructure; policy analysis;

D O I：

10.1007/s11518-006-0148-0

中图分类号：

学科分类号：

摘要：

Based on system dynamics approach, SDMUWEIC model is developed in order to evaluate future dynamics of urban water infrastructure development in China. Firstly, this paper presents the basic structure and characteristics of the model, focusing on water infrastructure’s dynamic relationships with population increase, economic development, water resources shortage and water conservation practices. Secondly, model veracity and robustness tests based on behavior reproduction and uncertainty analyses are illustrated. Thirdly, based on the model, future patterns of China’s urban water infrastructure investment requirements are simulated, and effectiveness of two different policy scenarios are evaluated. Finally, conclusions and policy implications are drawn, allowing insights into China’s sustainable water infrastructure policies and managements.

引用

页码：470 / 480

页数：10

共 25 条

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