The Development of a Simulation Model of Primary Prevention Strategies for Coronary Heart Disease

被引：21

作者：

Hannah Babad

Colin Sanderson

Bhash Naidoo

Ian White

Duolao Wang

机构：

[1] London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine,Health Services Research Unit, Department of Public Health and Policy

[2] London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine,Health Promotion Research Unit, Department of Public Health and Policy

[3] London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine,Medical Statistics Unit, Department of Epidemiology and Population Health

来源：

Health Care Management Science | 2002年 / 5卷 / 4期

关键词：

Coronary Heart Disease; Health Care Resource; Health Policy Maker; Risk Factor Profile; Coronary Heart Disease Prevention;

D O I：

10.1023/A:1020330106374

中图分类号：

学科分类号：

摘要：

This paper describes the present state of development of a discrete-event micro-simulation model for coronary heart disease prevention. The model is intended to support health policy makers in assessing the impacts on health care resources of different primary prevention strategies. For each person, a set of times to disease events, conditional on the individual's risk factor profile, is sampled from a set of probability distributions that are derived from a new analysis of the Framingham cohort study on coronary heart disease. Methods used to model changes in behavioural and physiological risk factors are discussed and a description of the simulation logic is given. The model incorporates POST (Patient Oriented Simulation Technique) simulation routines.

引用

页码：269 / 274

页数：5

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