PopMod: a longitudinal population model with two interacting disease states

被引:46
作者
Jeremy A Lauer
Klaus Röhrich
Harald Wirth
Claude Charette
Steve Gribble
Christopher JL Murray
机构
[1] World Health Organization,Global Programme on Evidence for Health Policy (GPE/EQC)
[2] Technoparc Pays de Gex,Creative Services
[3] Statistics Canada,undefined
关键词
Population Model; Joint Condition; Instantaneous Rate; Differential Equation System; Mortality Hazard;
D O I
10.1186/1478-7547-1-6
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
This article provides a description of the population model PopMod, which is designed to simulate the health and mortality experience of an arbitrary population subjected to two interacting disease conditions as well as all other "background" causes of death and disability. Among population models with a longitudinal dimension, PopMod is unique in modelling two interacting disease conditions; among the life-table family of population models, PopMod is unique in not assuming statistical independence of the diseases of interest, as well as in modelling age and time independently. Like other multi-state models, however, PopMod takes account of "competing risk" among diseases and causes of death.
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