Impacts of Global Climate Change on Mediterranean Agrigulture: Current Methodologies and Future Directions. An Introductory Essay

被引:17
作者
C. Rosenzweig
F. N. Tubiello
机构
[1] Columbia University and NASA-Goddard Institute for Space Studies,Center for Climate Systems Research
关键词
climate change; mediterranean region; agriculture; cereal production; impact assessment;
D O I
10.1023/B:MITI.0000018269.58736.82
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
Current trends in Mediterranean agriculture reveal differences between the Northern and Southern Mediterranean countries as related to population growth, land and water use, and food supply and demand. The changes in temperature and precipitation predicted by general circulation models for the Mediterranean region will affect water availability and resource management, critically shaping the patterns of future crop production. Three companion papers analyze in detail future impacts of predicted climate change on wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) and maize (Zea mays L.) production in Spain, Greece, and Egypt, and test farm- level adaptation strategies such as early planting and cultivar change with the aid of dynamic crop models. Strategies to improve the assessment of the potential effects of future climate change on agricultural production are discussed.
引用
收藏
页码:219 / 232
页数:13
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