Population and labour force projections for 27 European countries, 2002-052: impact of international migration on population ageingProjections de population et de population active pour 27 pays européens 2002-052: impact de la migration internationale sur le vieillissement de la population

被引:3
作者
Jakub Bijak
Dorota Kupiszewska
Marek Kupiszewski
Katarzyna Saczuk
Anna Kicinger
机构
[1] Central European Forum for Migration Research,
来源
European Journal of Population / Revue européenne de Démographie | 2007年 / 23卷 / 1期
关键词
Population projections; Labour force projections; International migration; Population ageing; Europe; Projections de population; Projections de population active; Migration internationale; Vieillissement de la population; Europe;
D O I
10.1007/s10680-006-9110-6
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
Population and labour force projections are made for 27 selected European countries for 2002-052, focussing on the impact of international migration on population and labour force dynamics. Starting from single scenarios for fertility, mortality and economic activity, three sets of assumptions are explored regarding migration flows, taking into account probable policy developments in Europe following the enlargement of the EU. In addition to age structures, various support ratio indicators are analysed. The results indicate that plausible immigration cannot offset the negative effects of population and labour force ageing.
引用
收藏
页码:1 / 31
页数:30
相关论文
共 17 条
  • [1] Christensen K.(1996)Determinants of longevity: genetic, environmental and medical factors Journal of Internal Medicine 240 333-341
  • [2] Vaupel J. W.(1992)Does Europe need immigrants? Population and work force projections International Migration Review 26 413-461
  • [3] Coleman D. A.(2002)Replacement migration, or why everyone is going to have to live in Korea: a fable for our times from the United Nations Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 357 583-598
  • [4] Coleman D. A.(2001)Replacement migration-from the perspective of equilibrium stationary populations Population and Environment 22 383-400
  • [5] Espenshade T. J.(1982)Immigration and the stable population model Demography 19 125-133
  • [6] Espenshade T. J.(2000)Active population growth and immigration hypotheses in Western Europe European Journal of Population 16 3-40
  • [7] Bouvier L. F.(2005)Migration and fertility: competing hypotheses re-examined European Journal of Population 21 51-87
  • [8] Arthur W. B.(1999)Who, what, where, and when? Specifying the impact of educational attainment and labour force participation on family formation European Journal of Population 15 45-75
  • [9] Feld S.(2002)Demography: broken limits to life expectancy Science 296 1029-1031
  • [10] Kulu H.(1990)In search of Methuselah: estimating the upper limits to human longevity Science 250 634-640