ON RESIDUAL SUMS OF SQUARES IN NONPARAMETRIC AUTOREGRESSION

被引:14
作者
CHENG, B [1 ]
TONG, H [1 ]
机构
[1] UNIV KENT,INST MATH & STAT,CORNWALLIS BLDG,CANTERBURY CT2 7NF,KENT,ENGLAND
关键词
BIAS; CROSS VALIDATION; KERNEL; NONPARAMETRIC AUTOREGRESSION; RESIDUAL SUM OF SQUARES; U-STATISTICS;
D O I
10.1016/0304-4149(93)90112-H
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
By relying on the theory of U-statistics of dependent data, we have given a detailed analysis of the residual sum of squares, RSS, after fitting a nonlinear autoregression using the kernel method. The asymptotic bias of the RSS as an estimator of the noise variance is evaluated up to and including the first order term. A similar quantity, the cross validated residual sum of squares obtained by 'leaving one out' in the fitting is similarly analysed. An asymptotic positive bias is obtained.
引用
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页码:157 / 174
页数:18
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