LEARNING RATIONAL-EXPECTATIONS IN A POLICY GAME

被引:5
作者
CRIPPS, M
机构
[1] University of Warwick, Coventry
关键词
D O I
10.1016/0165-1889(91)90015-S
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Rational expectations is a maintained assumption in the analysis of economic policy. Here we examine how two types of learning rational expectations (rational and econometric) affect the time profile of optimal policy. In both cases the government adopts policies which delay convergence to rational expectations. There is also a reduction in the inflationary bias, in one case permanently, in the other temporarily. The results also show that reputation effects will be explained by models of learning. © 1991.
引用
收藏
页码:297 / 315
页数:19
相关论文
共 13 条
[1]   RATIONAL-EXPECTATIONS AND POLICY CREDIBILITY FOLLOWING A CHANGE IN REGIME [J].
BACKUS, D ;
DRIFFILL, J .
REVIEW OF ECONOMIC STUDIES, 1985, 52 (02) :211-221
[2]   RULES, DISCRETION AND REPUTATION IN A MODEL OF MONETARY-POLICY [J].
BARRO, RJ ;
GORDON, DB .
JOURNAL OF MONETARY ECONOMICS, 1983, 12 (01) :101-121
[3]  
BASAR T, 1987, 289 U WARW WARW EC R
[4]   RATIONAL-EXPECTATIONS EQUILIBRIA, LEARNING, AND MODEL-SPECIFICATION [J].
BRAY, MM ;
SAVIN, NE .
ECONOMETRICA, 1986, 54 (05) :1129-1160
[5]  
CANZONERI MB, 1985, AM ECON REV, V75, P1056
[6]   A THEORY OF AMBIGUITY, CREDIBILITY, AND INFLATION UNDER DISCRETION AND ASYMMETRIC INFORMATION [J].
CUKIERMAN, A ;
MELTZER, AH .
ECONOMETRICA, 1986, 54 (05) :1099-1128
[7]  
DRIFFILL J, 1987, 288 WARW EC RES PAP
[8]  
DRIFFILL J, 1987, CEPR159 DISC PAP
[9]   NONCOOPERATIVE COLLUSION UNDER IMPERFECT PRICE INFORMATION [J].
GREEN, EJ ;
PORTER, RH .
ECONOMETRICA, 1984, 52 (01) :87-100
[10]  
Harvey AC., 1983, TIME SERIES MODELS