IDENTIFYING THE LONG-TERM DYNAMICS OF CAR OWNERSHIP - A DEMOGRAPHIC APPROACH

被引：19

作者：

GALLEZ, C

机构：

[1] INRETS-DEST, French National Institute for the Transport and Safety Research, Department of Transport Economics and Sociology, Arcueil, 94114, 2 avenue du Général Malleret-Joinville, Cédex

来源：

TRANSPORT REVIEWS | 1994年 / 14卷 / 01期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1080/01441649408716867

中图分类号：

U [交通运输];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0823 ;

摘要：

A new approach is presented for long term forecasting of vehicle ownership and the household total car fleet, based on a proven demographic method, longitudinal analysis. This method, by following life cycle patterns of successive cohorts (groups of households whose heads are born during the same period), enables one to identify long term dynamics while providing an in-depth understanding of individual behaviour.

引用

页码：83 / 102

页数：20

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