China's Future Population: Predictions and Prospects

被引：6

作者：

Men Kepei ^{[1
]}

Guan Linlin ^{[1
]}

Jia Lingyun ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Dept Math, Sect Math Stat, Nanjing 210044, Jiangsu, Peoples R China

来源：

POPULATION REVIEW | 2005年 / 44卷 / 01期

关键词：

China's population; grey model establishment; model of grey increment; model of grey growth rate; prediction of population size and growth;

D O I：

10.1353/prv.2005.0003

中图分类号：

C921 [人口统计学];

学科分类号：

摘要：

Based on the 1949 - 2004 statistics, models of grey increment and grey growth rate are used to predict the population of China up to the year 2050. Evidence shows that at the end of 2005, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040 and 2050 the total population will reach 1.3068, 1.336, 1.372, 1.391, 1.401 and 1.406 billion, respectively. In the last decade the annual increase is predicted to be less than 460,000 people, showing an almost zero growth.

引用

页码：1 / 10

页数：10

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