ON COUNTRY RISK - SOME PRELIMINARY-RESULTS

被引:4
作者
KHAN, AM
SHIH, CT
机构
[1] Univ of Texas, Arlington, TX, USA, Univ of Texas, Arlington, TX, USA
关键词
COMPUTER SYSTEMS PROGRAMMING - Decision Tables - COST ACCOUNTING - Mathematical Models - RISK STUDIES - Assessment;
D O I
10.1016/0167-6377(85)90018-5
中图分类号
C93 [管理学]; O22 [运筹学];
学科分类号
070105 ; 12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;
摘要
An extraordinary growth in foreign investment by US firms has generated a need for forecasting country risk. We present a behavioral decision model. Expert information is used to identify salient risk factors, and experts provide judgmental ratings of these variables for a sample of countries. A linear model that is able to simulate the experts' decisions is developed from the data.
引用
收藏
页码:135 / 138
页数:4
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