Delay risk analysis of ship sailing the northern sea route

被引：31

作者：

Marken, V. B. ^{[1
]}

Ehlers, S. ^{[2
]}

Khan, F. ^{[3
]}

机构：

[1] Norwegian Univ Sci & Technol, Trondheim, Norway

[2] Hamburg Univ Technol, Hamburg, Germany

[3] Faisal Khan Mem Univ Newfoundland, St John, NF, Canada

来源：

SHIP TECHNOLOGY RESEARCH | 2015年 / 62卷 / 01期

关键词：

Bow-tie analysis; Uncertainty modelling; Arctic shipping; Fuzzy set theory; Information updating; Defuzzification;

D O I：

10.1179/0937725515Z.0000000007

中图分类号：

U6 [水路运输]; P75 [海洋工程];

学科分类号：

0814 ; 081505 ; 0824 ; 082401 ;

摘要：

The northern sea route (NSR) has evolved as an international trade route alternative from 2009. The lack of understanding and the lack of information are two key elements restricting the use of the NSR. Therefore, this paper seeks to overcome those restrictions with a bow-tie analysis to qualitatively perform a risk analysis with a fuzzy set theory to model uncertainness in the data.

引用

页码：26 / 35

页数：10

共 13 条

[1] Ferdous R., 2011, PROCESS SAF ENVIRON, V91, P1
[2] Handling and updating uncertain information in bow-tie analysis
Ferdous, Refaul
Khan, Faisal
Sadiq, Rehan
Amyotte, Paul
Veitch, Brian
[J]. JOURNAL OF LOSS PREVENTION IN THE PROCESS INDUSTRIES, 2012, 25 (01) : 8 - 19
[3] Kahn F., 2014, OMAE 2014
[4] MacDonald JH., 2009, HDB BIOL STAT
[5] Ragner C. L., 2008, BARENTS ETT GRANSLAN, P114
[6] Rausand M, 2011, STAT PRACT, P1, DOI 10.1002/9781118281116
[7] Saltelli A., 2008, GLOBAL SENSITIVITY A
[8] Impact scenario models for probabilistic risk-based design for ship-ship collision
Stahlberg, Kaarle
Goerlandt, Floris
Ehlers, Soren
Kujala, Pentti
[J]. MARINE STRUCTURES, 2013, 33 : 238 - 264
[9] Vegard B.Marken, 2014, BOW TIE ANAL RISK DE
[10] Veritas D. N., 2010, SHIPPING ARCTIC OCEA

← 1 2 →