UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS IN MULTIPLICATIVE MODELS

被引：118

作者：

SLOB, W

机构：

[1] National Institute of Public Health and Environmental Protection, Rivm, Bilthoven, 3720 BA

来源：

RISK ANALYSIS | 1994年 / 14卷 / 04期

关键词：

RISK ASSESSMENT; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS; MULTIPLICATIVE MODEL; LOGNORMAL DISTRIBUTION; MONTE-CARLO ANALYSIS;

D O I：

10.1111/j.1539-6924.1994.tb00271.x

中图分类号：

R1 [预防医学、卫生学];

学科分类号：

1004 ; 120402 ;

摘要：

Uncertainties are usually evaluated by Monte Carlo analysis. However, multiplicative models with lognormal uncertainties, which are ubiquitous in risk assessments, allow for a simple and quick analytical uncertainty analysis. The necessary formulae are given, which may be evaluated by a desk calculator. Two examples illustrate the method.

引用

页码：571 / 576

页数：6

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