UNCERTAINTIES IN SYSTEM-ANALYSIS - PROBABILISTIC VERSUS NONPROBABILISTIC THEORIES

被引：49

作者：

WU, JS ^{[1
]}

APOSTOLAKIS, GE ^{[1
]}

OKRENT, D ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] UNIV CALIF LOS ANGELES, DEPT MECH AEROSP & NUCL ENGN, LOS ANGELES, CA 90024 USA

来源：

RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY | 1990年 / 30卷 / 1-3期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1016/0951-8320(90)90093-3

中图分类号：

T [工业技术];

学科分类号：

08 ;

摘要：

The theory of evidence and the theory of possibility have been suggested as possible alternatives to probability theory in safety analyses of engineering systems. This paper discusses three issues: (1) how formal probability theory has been relaxed to develop these nonprobabilistic models; (2) how degrees of belief are expressed in probabilistic and nonprobabilistic theories; and (3) the degree to which these nonprobabilistic models can be applied to system analysis in terms of their capability to combine knowledge. © 1990.

引用

页码：163 / 181

页数：19

共 34 条

[1]

[Anonymous], STUDIES SUBJECTIVE P

[2]

APOSTOLAKIS G, 1978, NUCL SAFETY, V19, P305

[3]

APOSTOLAKIS G, 1988, ACCELERATED LIFE TES

[4] UNCERTAINTY IN PROBABILISTIC SAFETY ASSESSMENT [J].

APOSTOLAKIS, GE .

NUCLEAR ENGINEERING AND DESIGN, 1989, 115 (01) :173-179

[5]

CHEESEMAN P, 1986, UNCERTAINTY PROBABIL

[6]

deFinetti B, 1974, THEORY PROBABILITY, V2

[7]

deFinetti B., 1974, THEORY PROBABILITY

[8] UPPER AND LOWER PROBABILITIES INDUCED BY A MULTIVALUED MAPPING [J].

DEMPSTER, AP .

ANNALS OF MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS, 1967, 38 (02) :325-&

[9]

DEMPSTER AP, 1968, J ROY STAT SOC B, V30, P205

[10]

Dubois D., 1988, Computational Intelligence, V4, P244, DOI 10.1111/j.1467-8640.1988.tb00279.x

← 1 2 3 4 →