DERMATOLOGY MANPOWER PROJECTIONS

被引:8
作者
RAMSAY, DL [1 ]
GRUNBERG, AH [1 ]
SANCHEZ, M [1 ]
ROSENTHAL, LE [1 ]
机构
[1] AMER ACAD DERMATOL, EVANSTON, IL USA
关键词
D O I
10.1001/archderm.120.10.1298
中图分类号
R75 [皮肤病学与性病学];
学科分类号
100206 ;
摘要
Since an oversupply of physician specialists leads to a waste of professional resources, planning of the number of physicians is desirable. A model projecting the future supply of dermatologists was formulated on the basis of current residency capacity, which produces about 270 dermatologists/year, and on experience regarding the average length of active clinical practice. How changes in the training capacity affect the future supply of dermatologists was also examined. The model projects an equilibrium supply of about 9500 dermatologists, or 3.2/100,000 population early in the 21st century, provided the number of new graduates remains at its present level. Assuming no economic barriers to access, 2.8 to 3 dermatologists/100,000 population should be adequate to meet demand. Because of many unpredictable factors, periodic reassessment of dermatology training capacity is necessary.
引用
收藏
页码:1298 / 1300
页数:3
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