A prior for the variance in hierarchical models

被引:92
作者
Daniels, MJ [1 ]
机构
[1] Iowa State Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Stat, Ames, IA 50011 USA
来源
CANADIAN JOURNAL OF STATISTICS-REVUE CANADIENNE DE STATISTIQUE | 1999年 / 27卷 / 03期
关键词
noninformative prior; shrinkage; multi-level models;
D O I
10.2307/3316112
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
The choice of prior distributions for the variances can be important and quite difficult in Bayesian hierarchical and variance component models. For situations where little prior information is available, a 'noninformative' type prior is usually chosen. 'Noninformative' priors have been discussed by many authors and used in many contexts. However, care must be taken using these prior distributions as many are improper and thus, can lead to improper posterior distributions. Additionally, in small samples, these priors can be 'informative'. In this paper, we investigate a proper 'vague' prior, the uniform shrinkage prior (Strawderman 1971; Christiansen & Morris 1997). We discuss its properties and show how posterior distributions for common hierarchical models using this prior lead to proper posterior distributions. We also illustrate the attractive frequentist properties of this prior for a normal hierarchical model including testing and estimation. To conclude, we generalize this prior to the multivariate situation of a covariance matrix.
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页码:567 / 578
页数:12
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