Equity premia in emerging markets: National characteristics as determinants

被引:8
作者
Aggarwal, Raj [1 ]
Goodell, John W. [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Akron, Coll Business Adm, Sullivan Prof Int Business & Finance Dean, Akron, OH 44325 USA
[2] Baldwin Wallace Coll, Assistant Prof Finance, 275 Eastland Rd, Berea, OH 44017 USA
关键词
Equity premium; Emerging markets; Cost of capital;
D O I
10.1016/j.mulfin.2008.02.002
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
There is little research on international equity premia estimates. Using improved and consistent methodologies covering a recent 8-year period, this paper estimates annual equity premia for sixteen emerging markets and finds that they are generally low even compared to risk-free rates. In addition, based on a panel-data regression analysis, this paper finds that, for emerging markets, equity premia narrow with higher market synchronicity, higher economic inequality and better civil liberties, while equity premia widen with better regulatory quality and investor protection and greater international corporate bond spreads. Our results suggest the possibility that in many emerging markets there are nonpecuniary benefits to holding equity or that controlling ownerships have preferential access to capital. These results pose important questions regarding the role of equity in emerging markets. Given the importance of the equity premium, these results should be of great interest to practitioners and researchers. (C) 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:389 / 404
页数:16
相关论文
共 47 条
[1]   ARE SURVEY FORECASTS OF MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES RATIONAL [J].
AGGARWAL, R ;
MOHANTY, S ;
SONG, F .
JOURNAL OF BUSINESS, 1995, 68 (01) :99-119
[2]   Defaults and returns on high-yield bonds - Reviewing recent experience and analytics. [J].
Altman, EI ;
Bana, G .
JOURNAL OF PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT, 2004, 30 (02) :58-+
[3]   PRIVATE BENEFITS FROM BLOCK OWNERSHIP AND DISCOUNTS ON CLOSED-END FUNDS [J].
BARCLAY, MJ ;
HOLDERNESS, CG ;
PONTIFF, J .
JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS, 1993, 33 (03) :263-291
[4]   A new database on the structure and development of the financial sector [J].
Beck, T ;
Demirgüç-Kunt, A ;
Levine, R .
WORLD BANK ECONOMIC REVIEW, 2000, 14 (03) :597-605
[5]  
Bekaert G, 2003, WORKING PAPER
[6]   The regulation of labor [J].
Botero, JC ;
Djankov, S ;
La Porta, R ;
Lopez-de-Silanes, F ;
Shleifer, A .
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS, 2004, 119 (04) :1339-1382
[7]   Equity premia as low as three percent? Evidence from analysts' earnings forecasts for domestic and international stock markets [J].
Claus, J ;
Thomas, J .
JOURNAL OF FINANCE, 2001, 56 (05) :1629-1666
[8]  
Collins D W., 1997, J ACCOUNT ECON, V24, P143, DOI DOI 10.1016/S0165-4101(97)00015-3
[9]   Equity valuation and negative earnings: The role of book value of equity [J].
Collins, DW ;
Pincus, M ;
Xie, H .
ACCOUNTING REVIEW, 1999, 74 (01) :29-61
[10]  
Dimson E., 2003, 385 IFA