CONVERGENCE OF MOMENTS OF LEAST-SQUARES ESTIMATORS FOR THE COEFFICIENTS OF AN AUTOREGRESSIVE PROCESS OF UNKNOWN ORDER

被引:14
作者
BHANSALI, RJ [1 ]
PAPANGELOU, F [1 ]
机构
[1] UNIV MANCHESTER,DEPT MATH,MANCHESTER M13 9PL,LANCS,ENGLAND
关键词
STATIONARY PROCESS; TIME SERIES; PREDICTION; UNIFORM INTEGRABILITY; CONVERGENCE OF MOMENTS;
D O I
10.1214/aos/1176348243
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
Given a realization of T consecutive observations of a stationary autoregressive process of unknown, possibly infinite, order m, it is assumed that a process of arbitrary finite order p is fitted by least squares. Under appropriate conditions it is known that the estimators of the autoregressive coefficients are asymptotically normal. The question considered here is whether the moments of the (scaled) estimators converge, as T --> infinity, to the moments of their asymptotic distribution. We establish a general result for stationary processes (valid, in particular, in the Guassian case) which is sufficient to imply this convergence.
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页码:1155 / 1162
页数:8
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