OUR SUN .3. PRESENT AND FUTURE

被引:173
作者
SACKMANN, IJ [1 ]
BOOTHROYD, AI [1 ]
KRAEMER, KE [1 ]
机构
[1] UNIV TORONTO,CANADIAN INST THEORET ASTROPHYS,TORONTO M5S 1A7,ONTARIO,CANADA
关键词
SOLAR SYSTEM; GENERAL; STARS; EVOLUTION; SUN; INTERIOR;
D O I
10.1086/173407
中图分类号
P1 [天文学];
学科分类号
0704 ;
摘要
Self-consistent evolutionary models were computed for our Sun, using Los Alamos interior opacities and Sharp molecular opacities, starting with contraction on the Hayashi track, and fitting the observed present solar L, R, and Z/X at the solar age. This resulted in presolar Y = 0.274 and Z = 0.01954, and in present solar Cl-37 and Ga-71 neutrino capture rates of 6.53 and 123 SNU, respectively. We explored the Sun's future. While on the hydrogen-burning main sequence, the Sun's luminosity grows from 0.7 L., 4.5 Gyr ago, to 2.2 L., 6.5 Gyr from now. A luminosity of 1.1 L. will be reached in 1.1 Gyr, and 1.4 L. in 3.5 Gyr; at these luminosities, Kasting predicts ''moist greenhouse'' and ''runaway greenhouse'' catastrophes, respectively, using a cloud-free climate model of the Earth; clouds could delay these catastrophes somewhat. As the Sun ascends the red giant branch (RGB), its convective envelope encompasses 75% of its mass (diluting remaining Li-7 by two orders of magnitude; He-4 is enhanced by 8%, He-3 by a factor of 5.7, C-13 by a factor of 3, and N-14 by a factor of 1.5). The Sun eventually reaches a luminosity of 2300 L. and a radius of 170 R. on the RGB, shedding 0.275 MD and engulfing the planet Mercury. After the horizontal branch stage (core helium burning), the Sun climbs the asymptotic giant branch (AGB), encountering four thermal pulses there; at the first thermal pulse, the Sun reaches its largest radial extent of 213 R. (0.99 AU), which is surprisingly close to Earth's present orbit. However, at this point the Sun's mass has been reduced to 0.591 M., and the orbits of Venus and Earth have moved out to 1.22 and 1.69 AU, respectively-they both escape being engulfed. The Sun reaches a peak luminosity of 5200 L. at the fourth thermal pulse. It ends up as a white dwarf with a final mass of 0.541 M., shifting the orbits of the planets outward such that Venus and Earth end up at 1.34 and 1.85 AU, respectively. These events on the AGB are strongly mass-loss dependent; somewhat less mass loss can result in engulfment of Venus, or even Earth. Our preferred mass-loss rate was a Reimers wind with a mass-loss parameter eta = 0.6 normalized from inferred mass loss in globular cluster stars. For reasonable mass-loss rates (0.8 > eta > 0.4), the Sun's final white dwarf mass is between 0.51 and 0.58 M.. The Sun spends 11 Gyr on the main sequence, 0.7 Gyr cooling toward the RGB, 0.6 Gyr ascending the RGB, 0.1 Gyr on the horizontal branch, 0.02 Gyr on the early AGB, 0.0004 Gyr on the thermally pulsing AGB, and 0.0001 Gyr on the traverse to the planetary nebula stage (the last three of these time scales depend sensitively on the amount of mass loss).
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页码:457 / 468
页数:12
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