PREDICTING DISPERSAL SPECTRA - A MINIMAL SET OF HYPOTHESES BASED ON PLANT ATTRIBUTES

1 The dispersal mode adopted by a plant species is frequently associated with other attributes of the plant and its habitat. In this paper we review these associations and present a set of hypotheses which, when considered together, make a probabilistic prediction of the dispersal mode adopted by a plant species. When applied to a species list, the hypotheses can be used to generate a prediction of its dispersal spectrum, i.e. the percentages of different dispersal modes that have been adopted. 2 The formulation of such a set of hypotheses has several purposes: (i) to summarize existing knowledge about dispersal adaptations and their interrelations with other attributes of plants and their habitats; (ii) to couch that knowledge in such a way that falsifiable predictions can be made; (iii) to arrive at provisional conclusions about which factors are the most important in shaping the evolution of dispersal mode in different plants or different environments. 3 The review of relationships between dispersal mode and other attributes of plants and their habitats lead to the following provisional conclusions; (i) seeds larger than 100 mg tend to be adapted for dispersal by vertebrates while those smaller than 0.1 mg tend to be unassisted; most seeds, however, are between 0.1 and 100 mg, and in this range all of the dispersal modes are feasible; (ii) plant growth form and stature (sometimes in relation to the canopy height of the vegetation) seem to exclude certain dispersal modes; (iii) the availability of specific dispersal vectors seems rarely to be an important determinant of dispersal mode; (iv) attributes of the physical environment also seem rarely to be important, except indirectly through their influence on plant stature and seed size.