SIMULATION-MODELS TO PREDICT ECOLOGICAL RISK OF TOXINS IN FRESH-WATER SYSTEMS

被引:13
作者
HOMMEN, U [1 ]
POETHKE, HJ [1 ]
DULMER, U [1 ]
RATTE, HT [1 ]
机构
[1] UNIV MAINZ,INST ZOOL,D-55122 MAINZ,GERMANY
关键词
SIMULATION MODELS; ECOLOGICAL RISK ASSESSMENT; INDIVIDUALS APPROACH; MONTE-CARLO SIMULATION;
D O I
10.1006/jmsc.1993.1039
中图分类号
S9 [水产、渔业];
学科分类号
0908 ;
摘要
The application of ecological models for prognosis of pollutant effects on freshwater plankton communities is demonstrated by three examples: (l)an individual-based model to predict population interactions under pollutant stress in laboratory systems; (2) a compartment model for analysis of outdoor microcosm experiments and hazard assessment of lest substances; and (3) a more detailed compartment model which is developed to predict direct and indirect effects of toxins in lakes of different tTophic states. Possible approaches of estimating ecological risk using the described stochastic models are presented and problems are discussed. © 1993 Conseil International pour l’Exploration de la Mer.
引用
收藏
页码:337 / 347
页数:11
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