FUTURES ASSESSMENT BY FIELD ANOMALY RELAXATION - A REVIEW AND APPRAISAL

被引：25

作者：

COYLE, RG

CRAWSHAY, R

SUTTON, L

机构：

来源：

FUTURES | 1994年 / 26卷 / 01期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1016/0016-3287(94)90088-4

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

Futures research includes the problem of generating reasonably exhaustive and plausible scenarios for a given topic, a problem for which there are no truly satisfactory solutions. This article reviews and evaluates a method, field anomaly relaxation, first put forward some 20 years ago. The evaluation is in the context of an illustrative study of political developments in Europe. The research reconstructs and further develops the method and concludes that it has something to offer for scenario generation. Its weaknesses are identified and suggestions for further research are made.

引用

页码：25 / 43

页数：19

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