MORTALITY AMONG THE ELDERLY IN THE UNITED-STATES, 1956-1987 - DEMONSTRATION OF THE UPPER BOUNDARY TO GOMPERTZIAN MORTALITY

被引：35

作者：

RIGGS, JE

MILLECCHIA, RJ

机构：

[1] W VIRGINIA UNIV,MED CTR,SCH MED,DEPT PHYSIOL,MORGANTOWN,WV 26506

[2] W VIRGINIA UNIV,MED CTR,SCH MED,DEPT LOW TEMP ENGN PHYS,MORGANTOWN,WV 26506

[3] W VIRGINIA UNIV,MED CTR,SCH MED,DEPT COMMUNITY MED,MORGANTOWN,WV 26506

来源：

MECHANISMS OF AGEING AND DEVELOPMENT | 1992年 / 62卷 / 02期

关键词：

MORTALITY; EPIDEMIOLOGY; AGING; GOMPERTZIAN ANALYSIS;

D O I：

10.1016/0047-6374(92)90055-I

中图分类号：

Q2 [细胞生物学];

学科分类号：

071009 ; 090102 ;

摘要：

Mortality in the United States among individuals aged 85 years and older between the years 1956 and 1987 was analyzed using a cumulative summation technique. This analysis demonstrates that general mortality conforms to Gompertzian dynamics through age 96 years for both men and women. Of the 33 320 985 deaths in men in the U.S. between 1956 and 1987, only 123 643 (0.37%) occurred in men aged 97 years and older. Of the corresponding 26 946 599 deaths in women, only 327 291 (1.21%) occurred in women aged 97 years and older. These results suggest that the competitive and deterministic features of the Gompertizian model of human aging and mortality remain valid through age 96 years and cover the vast majority of human mortality.

引用

收藏

页码：191 / 199

页数：9

相关论文

共 19 条

[1] THEORY OF RELIABILITY, BIOLOGICAL-SYSTEMS AND AGING [J].

DOUBAL, S .

MECHANISMS OF AGEING AND DEVELOPMENT, 1982, 18 (04) :339-353

[2] SLOW MORTALITY-RATE ACCELERATIONS DURING AGING IN SOME ANIMALS APPROXIMATE THAT OF HUMANS [J].

FINCH, CE ;

PIKE, MC ;

WITTEN, M .

SCIENCE, 1990, 249 (4971) :902-905

[3]

Gompertz B., 1825, PHILOS T R SOC LOND, V115, P513, DOI DOI 10.1098/RSTL.1825.0026

[4] ON THE THERMODYNAMICAL AND BIOLOGICAL INTERPRETATION OF THE GOMPERTZIAN MORTALITY-RATE DISTRIBUTION [J].

LESTIENNE, R .

MECHANISMS OF AGEING AND DEVELOPMENT, 1988, 42 (03) :197-214

[5] LONGITUDINAL GOMPERTZIAN ANALYSIS OF PRIMARY MALIGNANT BRAIN-TUMOR MORTALITY IN THE UNITED-STATES 1962-1987 - RISING MORTALITY IN THE ELDERLY IS THE NATURAL CONSEQUENCE OF COMPETITIVE DETERMINISTIC DYNAMICS [J].

RIGGS, JE .

MECHANISMS OF AGEING AND DEVELOPMENT, 1991, 60 (03) :225-241

[6] LONGITUDINAL GOMPERTZIAN ANALYSIS OF AMYOTROPHIC-LATERAL-SCLEROSIS MORTALITY IN THE UNITED-STATES, 1977-1986 - EVIDENCE FOR AN INHERENTLY SUSCEPTIBLE POPULATION SUBSET [J].

RIGGS, JE .

MECHANISMS OF AGEING AND DEVELOPMENT, 1990, 55 (03) :207-220

[7] LONGITUDINAL GOMPERTZIAN ANALYSIS OF PARKINSONS-DISEASE MORTALITY IN THE UNITED-STATES, 1955-1986 - THE DRAMATIC INCREASE IN OVERALL MORTALITY SINCE 1980 IS THE NATURAL CONSEQUENCE OF DETERMINISTIC MORTALITY DYNAMICS [J].

RIGGS, JE .

MECHANISMS OF AGEING AND DEVELOPMENT, 1990, 55 (03) :221-233

[8] LONGITUDINAL GOMPERTZIAN ANALYSIS OF ADULT MORTALITY IN THE UNITED-STATES, 1900-1986 [J].

RIGGS, JE .

MECHANISMS OF AGEING AND DEVELOPMENT, 1990, 54 (03) :235-247

[9] LONGITUDINAL GOMPERTZIAN ANALYSIS OF ISCHEMIC-HEART-DISEASE MORTALITY IN THE UNITED-STATES, 1962-1986 - A METHOD OF DEMONSTRATING THE DETERMINISTIC DYNAMICS DESCRIBING ITS DECLINE [J].

RIGGS, JE .

MECHANISMS OF AGEING AND DEVELOPMENT, 1991, 57 (01) :1-14

[10] LONGITUDINAL GOMPERTZIAN ANALYSIS OF STROKE MORTALITY IN THE UNITED-STATES, 1951-1986 - DECLINING STROKE MORTALITY IS THE NATURAL CONSEQUENCE OF COMPETITIVE DETERMINISTIC MORTALITY DYNAMICS [J].

RIGGS, JE .

MECHANISMS OF AGEING AND DEVELOPMENT, 1990, 55 (03) :235-243