MODELING DOUBLE SCROLL TIME-SERIES

被引:3
作者
DIMITRIADIS, A
FRASER, AM
机构
[1] PORTLAND STATE UNIV,SYST SCI PROGRAM,PORTLAND,OR 97207
[2] PORTLAND STATE UNIV,DEPT ELECT ENGN,PORTLAND,OR 97207
来源
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON CIRCUITS AND SYSTEMS II-ANALOG AND DIGITAL SIGNAL PROCESSING | 1993年 / 40卷 / 10期
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
8;
D O I
10.1109/82.246171
中图分类号
TM [电工技术]; TN [电子技术、通信技术];
学科分类号
0808 ; 0809 ;
摘要
The ubiquity of strange attractors in nature suggests that nonlinear modeling techniques can improve performance in some signal processing applications. We introduce mixed state Markov models (MSMM's), a refinement of hidden filter HMM's, and apply both to a synthetic double scroll time series. Forecasts by HFHMM's diverge after a few steps. Using ad hoc procedures, forecasts by MSMM's, even models generated by crude methods without iterative optimization, can be made more stable.
引用
收藏
页码:683 / 687
页数:5
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