DEMOGRAPHIC-CHANGE AND PERSISTENCE OF HIV/AIDS IN A HETEROGENEOUS POPULATION

被引:34
作者
BUSENBERG, S
COOKE, K
THIEME, H
机构
[1] POMONA COLL,DEPT MATH,CLAREMONT,CA 91711
[2] ARIZONA STATE UNIV,DEPT MATH,TEMPE,AZ 85287
关键词
EPIDEMIC MODEL; DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE; AGE STRUCTURE; PERSISTENCE OF AIDS; ENDEMIC THRESHOLDS; GLOBAL BEHAVIOR;
D O I
10.1137/0151052
中图分类号
O29 [应用数学];
学科分类号
070104 ;
摘要
A model of the transmission of the HIV virus that takes demographic change into account is derived and analyzed. Thresholds for the persistence of the disease in increasing or decreasing populations are derived, and the global behavior of the solutions is obtained. Two diverse notions of disease persistence are shown to exist in populations that are undergoing demographic change. The effects of the disease on the population demographics are analyzed and discussed.
引用
收藏
页码:1030 / 1052
页数:23
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