ON THE USES OF EXPERT JUDGMENT ON COMPLEX TECHNICAL PROBLEMS

[1] BAYES T, 1958, BIOMETRIKA, V45, P2936

[2] Benjamin J. R., 1970, PROBABILITY STATISTI

[3] de Finetti, 1937, ANN I H POINCARE, V7, P1

[4] JOHN R, 1989, MAY NAT M OP RES SOC

[5] Keeney R.L, 1980, SITING ENERGY FACILI

[6] KEENEY RL, 1979, 2ND P US NAT C EARTH

[7] Kyburg H. E., 1964, STUDIES SUBJECTIVE P

[8] QUANTIFYING JUDGMENTAL UNCERTAINTY - METHODOLOGY, EXPERIENCES, AND INSIGHTS [J]. IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON SYSTEMS MAN AND CYBERNETICS, 1987, 17 (05): : 741 - 752

[9] TECHNICAL UNCERTAINTY IN QUANTITATIVE POLICY ANALYSIS - A SULFUR AIR-POLLUTION EXAMPLE [J]. RISK ANALYSIS, 1984, 4 (03) : 201 - 216

[10] A CRITIQUE OF CURRENT PRACTICE FOR THE USE OF EXPERT OPINIONS IN PROBABILISTIC RISK ASSESSMENT [J]. RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY, 1988, 20 (01) : 63 - 85

[1] BAYES T, 1958, BIOMETRIKA, V45, P2936

[2] Benjamin J. R., 1970, PROBABILITY STATISTI

[3] de Finetti, 1937, ANN I H POINCARE, V7, P1

[4] JOHN R, 1989, MAY NAT M OP RES SOC

[5] Keeney R.L, 1980, SITING ENERGY FACILI

[6] KEENEY RL, 1979, 2ND P US NAT C EARTH

[7] Kyburg H. E., 1964, STUDIES SUBJECTIVE P

[8] QUANTIFYING JUDGMENTAL UNCERTAINTY - METHODOLOGY, EXPERIENCES, AND INSIGHTS [J]. IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON SYSTEMS MAN AND CYBERNETICS, 1987, 17 (05): : 741 - 752

[9] TECHNICAL UNCERTAINTY IN QUANTITATIVE POLICY ANALYSIS - A SULFUR AIR-POLLUTION EXAMPLE [J]. RISK ANALYSIS, 1984, 4 (03) : 201 - 216

[10] A CRITIQUE OF CURRENT PRACTICE FOR THE USE OF EXPERT OPINIONS IN PROBABILISTIC RISK ASSESSMENT [J]. RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY, 1988, 20 (01) : 63 - 85