DIAGNOSTICITY AND THE BASE-RATE EFFECT

被引：55

作者：

FISCHHOFF, B ^{[1
]}

BARHILLEL, M ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] HEBREW UNIV JERUSALEM,JERUSALEM,ISRAEL

来源：

关键词：

D O I：

10.3758/BF03198301

中图分类号：

B84 [心理学];

学科分类号：

04 ; 0402 ;

摘要：

引用

页码：402 / 410

页数：9

共 13 条

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[2] THE BASE-RATE FALLACY IN PROBABILITY JUDGMENTS
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[J]. ACTA PSYCHOLOGICA, 1980, 44 (03) : 211 - 233
[3] BORGIDA E, 1981, NEW DIRECTIONS ATTRI, V3
[4] Dawes R.M., 1982, JUDGEMENT UNCERTAINT, P391
[5] Eddy DM., 1982, JUDGMENT UNCERTAINTY, P249, DOI [10.1017/cbo9780511809477.019, 10.1017/CBO9780511809477.019, DOI 10.1017/CBO9780511]
[6] HYPOTHESIS EVALUATION FROM A BAYESIAN PERSPECTIVE
FISCHHOFF, B
BEYTHMAROM, R
[J]. PSYCHOLOGICAL REVIEW, 1983, 90 (03) : 239 - 260
[7] Fischhoff B., 1980, ATTENTION PERFORMANC, V8
[8] THE EFFECTS OF BASE RATES AND INDIVIDUATING INFORMATION ON JUDGMENTS ABOUT ANOTHER PERSON
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TROPE, Y
[J]. JOURNAL OF EXPERIMENTAL SOCIAL PSYCHOLOGY, 1980, 16 (03) : 228 - 242
[9] SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITY - JUDGMENT OF REPRESENTATIVENESS
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TVERSKY, A
[J]. COGNITIVE PSYCHOLOGY, 1972, 3 (03) : 430 - 454
[10] PSYCHOLOGY OF PREDICTION
KAHNEMAN, D
TVERSKY, A
[J]. PSYCHOLOGICAL REVIEW, 1973, 80 (04) : 237 - 251