ELECTRICITY LOAD AND TEMPERATURE - ISSUES IN DYNAMIC SPECIFICATION

被引：27

作者：

PEIRSON, J ^{[1
]}

HENLEY, A ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] UNIV KENT,DEPT ECON,CANTERBURY CT2 7NP,KENT,ENGLAND

来源：

ENERGY ECONOMICS | 1994年 / 16卷 / 04期

关键词：

ELECTRICITY LOAD; TEMPERATURE; DYNAMIC SPECIFICATION;

D O I：

10.1016/0140-9883(94)90021-3

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

This paper considers the dynamic specification of the relationship between electricity load and air temperature. It is shown that this relationship has an important dynamic component and that ignoring this appears to bias the estimated effects of temperature on load. It is also shown that forms of autoregressive specification may give a good explanation of present load even if there are no dynamics in the causal relation. The assumptions underlying effective temperature and its empirical validity are investigated. Dynamic specification of the temperature response is shown to be conditional on the time of day, which brings into question the use of the effective temperature concept.

引用

页码：235 / 243

页数：9