DOMINANCE OF ACCURACY INFORMATION AND NEGLECT OF BASE RATES IN PROBABILITY ESTIMATION

被引：136

作者：

LYON, D

SLOVIC, P

机构：

[1] OREGON RES INST,EUGENE,OR 97403

[2] UNIV OREGON,PORTLAND,OR 97201

来源：

关键词：

D O I：

10.1016/0001-6918(76)90032-9

中图分类号：

B84 [心理学];

学科分类号：

04 ; 0402 ;

摘要：

引用

页码：287 / 298

页数：12

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[3] SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITY - JUDGMENT OF REPRESENTATIVENESS [J].

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TVERSKY, A .

[4] PSYCHOLOGY OF PREDICTION [J].

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TVERSKY, A .

[5]

KAHNEMAN D, 1972, ORI RES MONOGRAPH, V12, P4

MEEHL, PE ;

ROSEN, A .

SLOVIC, P ;

LICHTENSTEIN, S .

ORGANIZATIONAL BEHAVIOR AND HUMAN PERFORMANCE, 1971, 6 (06) :649-744