REPRESENTATIVENESS AND FALLACIES OF PROBABILITY JUDGMENT

被引:23
作者
BARHILLEL, M
机构
关键词
D O I
10.1016/0001-6918(84)90062-3
中图分类号
B84 [心理学];
学科分类号
04 ; 0402 ;
摘要
引用
收藏
页码:91 / 107
页数:17
相关论文
共 19 条
[1]   INTUITIVE THEORIES OF EVENTS AND EFFECTS OF BASE-RATE INFORMATION ON PREDICTION [J].
AJZEN, I .
JOURNAL OF PERSONALITY AND SOCIAL PSYCHOLOGY, 1977, 35 (05) :303-314
[2]  
[Anonymous], 1982, JUDGMENT UNCERTAINTY
[3]   WHEN DO BASE RATES AFFECT PREDICTIONS [J].
BARHILLEL, M ;
FISCHHOFF, B .
JOURNAL OF PERSONALITY AND SOCIAL PSYCHOLOGY, 1981, 41 (04) :671-680
[4]   WHAT FEATURES MAKE SAMPLES SEEM REPRESENTATIVE [J].
BARHILLEL, M .
JOURNAL OF EXPERIMENTAL PSYCHOLOGY-HUMAN PERCEPTION AND PERFORMANCE, 1980, 6 (03) :578-589
[5]   ROLE OF SAMPLE-SIZE IN SAMPLE EVALUATION [J].
BARHILLEL, M .
ORGANIZATIONAL BEHAVIOR AND HUMAN PERFORMANCE, 1979, 24 (02) :245-257
[6]   THE BASE-RATE FALLACY IN PROBABILITY JUDGMENTS [J].
BARHILLEL, M .
ACTA PSYCHOLOGICA, 1980, 44 (03) :211-233
[7]  
BARHILLEL M, 1983, DECISION MAKING UNCE
[8]  
BARHILLEL M, 1982, JUDGMENT UNCERTAINTY
[9]  
Dawes R.M., 1982, JUDGEMENT UNCERTAINT, P391
[10]   BEHAVIORAL DECISION-THEORY - PROCESSES OF JUDGMENT AND CHOICE [J].
EINHORN, HJ ;
HOGARTH, RM .
ANNUAL REVIEW OF PSYCHOLOGY, 1981, 32 :53-88