RISK AND UNCERTAINTY IN POWER-SYSTEM PLANNING

被引：35

作者：

MERRILL, HM

WOOD, AJ

机构：

[1] Power Technologies, Inc.

来源：

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ELECTRICAL POWER & ENERGY SYSTEMS | 1991年 / 13卷 / 02期

关键词：

POWER SYSTEM PLANNING; UNCERTAINTY; RISK ANALYSIS;

D O I：

10.1016/0142-0615(91)90030-Y

中图分类号：

TM [电工技术]; TN [电子技术、通信技术];

学科分类号：

0808 ; 0809 ;

摘要：

New methods are needed for dealing with uncertainty and risk in power system planning. This paper discusses the basic issues of uncertainty and risk analysis, and presents a new framework for dealing with them. A previous paper presented trade-off analysis as an approach for dealing with planning problems with multiple conflicting objectives. This paper extends the trade-off method by showing how risks, which arise because of uncertainties, can be dealt with using trade-off analysis. A step-by-step approach is presented and illustrated with case studies.

引用

页码：81 / 90

页数：10

共 9 条

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[5] Rau, Et al., Uncertainties and risks in electric utility resource planning, (1989)
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[9] Bhavaraju, Chamberlin, Nour, RISKMIN: an approach to risk evaluation in electric resource planning, EPRI Rep. EL-5851, 1, (1988)

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