A CONDITIONAL-PROBABILITY APPROACH TO THE CALCULATION OF FREQUENCY AND DURATION INDEXES IN COMPOSITE RELIABILITY EVALUATION

被引:63
作者
MELO, ACG
PEREIRA, MVF
DASILVA, AML
机构
[1] POWER SYST RES INC, RIO DE JANEIRO, BRAZIL
[2] CATHOLIC UNIV RIO DE JANEIRO, RIO DE JANEIRO, BRAZIL
关键词
RELIABILITY; COMPOSITE RELIABILITY; FREQUENCY AND DURATION INDEXES; PROBABILITY; MONTE-CARLO SIMULATION; LARGE SCALE SYSTEMS;
D O I
10.1109/59.260886
中图分类号
TM [电工技术]; TN [电子技术、通信技术];
学科分类号
0808 ; 0809 ;
摘要
This paper describes a, new methodology for frequency and duration (F&D) assessment in composite generation and transmission reliability evaluation. The proposed approach uses the concept of conditional probability to characterize the contribution of each component to the frequency indices, and allows the calculation of F&D indices at both system and bus level. The algorithm is easy to implement, and requires the same computational effort as the estimation of LOLP and EPNS indices. Case studies with utility-derived systems are presented and discussed.
引用
收藏
页码:1118 / 1125
页数:8
相关论文
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