BEING ACCURATE BUT NOT NECESSARILY BAYESIAN - COMMENTS ON CHRISTENSEN-SZALANSKI AND BEACH

被引：10

作者：

BEYTHMAROM, R ^{[1
]}

ARKES, HR ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] OHIO UNIV, ATHENS, OH 45701 USA

来源：

ORGANIZATIONAL BEHAVIOR AND HUMAN PERFORMANCE | 1983年 / 31卷 / 02期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1016/0030-5073(83)90124-1

中图分类号：

C93 [管理学];

学科分类号：

12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;

摘要：

引用

页码：255 / 257

页数：3

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[2] EXPERIENCE AND THE BASE-RATE FALLACY [J].

CHRISTENSENSZALANSKI, JJJ ;

BEACH, LR .

ORGANIZATIONAL BEHAVIOR AND HUMAN PERFORMANCE, 1982, 29 (02) :270-278

[3]

EDDY DM, 1982, JUDGMENT UNCERTAINTY

[4] PSYCHOLOGY OF PREDICTION [J].

KAHNEMAN, D ;

TVERSKY, A .

[5] MAN AS AN INTUITIVE STATISTICIAN [J].

PETERSON, CR ;

BEACH, LR .