MULTIPLE ATTRIBUTE SCENARIOS, BOUNDED PROBABILITIES, AND THREATS OF NUCLEAR THEFT

被引:10
作者
KIRKWOOD, CW [1 ]
POLLOCK, SM [1 ]
机构
[1] UNIV MICHIGAN,DEPT IND & OPERAT ENGN,ANN ARBOR,MI 48109
关键词
D O I
10.1016/0016-3287(82)90038-6
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
引用
收藏
页码:545 / 553
页数:9
相关论文
共 16 条
[1]   SMIC-74 - METHOD FOR CONSTRUCTING AND RANKING SCENARIOS [J].
DUPERRIN, JC ;
GODET, M .
FUTURES, 1975, 7 (04) :302-312
[2]   CHOICE OF SCENARIOS [J].
GERSHUNY, J .
FUTURES, 1976, 8 (06) :496-508
[3]   METHODOLOGY - SMIC 74 - REPLY FROM AUTHORS [J].
GODET, M .
FUTURES, 1976, 8 (04) :336-340
[4]  
Keeney R., 1976, DECISIONS MULTIPLE O
[5]   FURTHER COMMENTS ON CROSS-IMPACT ANALYSIS [J].
KELLY, P .
FUTURES, 1976, 8 (04) :341-345
[6]  
KIRKWOOD CW, 1978, METHODOLOGY CHARACTE
[7]   DO THOSE WHO KNOW MORE ALSO KNOW MORE ABOUT HOW MUCH THEY KNOW [J].
LICHTENSTEIN, S ;
FISCHHOFF, B .
ORGANIZATIONAL BEHAVIOR AND HUMAN PERFORMANCE, 1977, 20 (02) :159-183
[8]  
MACNULTY CAR, 1977, FUTURES, V9, P128
[9]   SUBJECTIVE CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY MODELING [J].
MITCHELL, RB ;
TYDEMAN, J .
TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE, 1978, 11 (02) :133-152
[10]   FURTHER COMMENT ON SMIC 74 [J].
MITCHELL, RB ;
TYDEMAN, J .
FUTURES, 1976, 8 (04) :340-341