PREDICTION OF CARDIAC AND PULMONARY COMPLICATIONS RELATED TO ELECTIVE ABDOMINAL AND NONCARDIAC THORACIC-SURGERY IN GERIATRIC-PATIENTS

purpose: Major cardiac and pulmonary complications associated with abdominal and noncardiac thoracic surgery are a common cause of mortality and serious morbidity in elderly patients. We postulated that a simple, inexpensive bicycle exercise test could provide objective documentation of cardiopulmonary reserve and, therefore, predict perioperative pulmonary as well as cardiac complications. patients and methods: Prior to elective surgery, 177 patients aged 65 years or older had assessment of the clinical history, results of physical examination, electrocardiogram, chest radiograph, blood chemistries, pulmonary function test findings, supine exercise test results, Dripps classification, and Goldman cardiac risk factors. Observations in patients with and without major perioperative cardiac and/or pulmonary complications were compared using univariate analysis followed by a multivariate logistic regression procedure. results: Major perioperative complications were pulmonary in 24 patients, cardiac in 25 patients, and either cardiac or pulmonary in 39 patients. By multivariate analysis, inability to perform two minutes of supine bicycle exercise raising the heart rate above 99 beats/minute was the best predictor of perioperative pulmonary, cardiac, and combined cardiopulmonary complications (p <0.0005). Among 108 patients who were able to achieve these exercise criteria, cardiac or pulmonary complications occurred in 10 patients (9.3%), with one death (0.9%). Among 69 patients unable to exercise satisfactorily, cardiac or pulmonary complications occurred in 29 patients (42%), with five total deaths (7.2%). conclusion: Objective measurement of exercise capacity by supine bicycle ergometry appears to be of clinical value for preoperative risk stratification for both pulmonary and cardiac complications prior to major elective abdominal or noncardiac thoracic surgery in elderly patients. © 1990.