DETERMINISTIC SIGNALS IN USA PRECIPITATION RECORDS .2.

被引:28
作者
CURRIE, RG
OBRIEN, DP
机构
[1] Institute for Terrestrial and Planetary Atmospheres, State University of New York, Stony Brook, New York
[2] Evergreen, Colorado, 80439
关键词
LUNI-SOLAR 18.6-YEAR TERM; RAINFALL; BISTABLE 180-DEGREES PHASE SWITCHES; CLIMATE; MAXIMUM ENTROPY SPECTRUM ANALYSIS;
D O I
10.1002/joc.3370120305
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
The ideal aim before the mind of the physicist is to understand the external world of reality. But the means which he uses to attain this end are what are known in physical science as measurements, and these give no direct information about external reality. They are only a register or representation of reactions to physical phenomena. As such they contain no explicit information and have to be interpreted. As Helmholtz said, measurements furnish the physicist with a sign which he must interpret, just as a language expert interprets the text of some prehistoric document that belongs to a culture utterly unknown. The first thing which the language expert assumes-and must assume if his work is to have any practical meaning-is that the document in question contains some reasonable message which has been stated according to some system of grammatical rules or symbols. In the same way the physicist must assume that the physical universe is governed by some system of laws which can be understood, even though he cannot hold out to himself the prospect of being able to understand them in a comprehensive way or to discover their character and manner of operation with anything like a full degree of certitude (author's italics).
引用
收藏
页码:281 / 304
页数:24
相关论文
共 111 条
[1]  
[Anonymous], 2014, VIRTUES HAPPINESS TH, DOI DOI 10.1093/ACPROF:OSO/9780199827367.001.0001
[2]   EVIDENCE FOR LONG-TERM BRIGHTNESS CHANGES OF SOLAR-TYPE STARS [J].
BALIUNAS, S ;
JASTROW, R .
NATURE, 1990, 348 (6301) :520-523
[3]   DUST BOWL IN 1970S [J].
BORCHERT, JR .
ANNALS OF THE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICAN GEOGRAPHERS, 1971, 61 (01) :1-22
[4]  
BRETTHORST GL, 1988, LECTURE NOTES STATIS, V48
[5]  
CHILDERS DG, 1978, MODERN SPECTRUM ANAL, V1
[6]   MORPHOLOGY OF BISTABLE 180-DEGREES PHASE SWITCHES IN 18.6-YEAR INDUCED RAINFALL OVER THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED-STATES-OF-AMERICA [J].
CURRIE, RG ;
OBRIEN, DP .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 1989, 9 (05) :501-525
[7]   DETERMINISTIC SIGNALS IN PRECIPITATION IN THE NORTHWESTERN UNITED-STATES [J].
CURRIE, RG ;
OBRIEN, DP .
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 1990, 26 (07) :1649-1656
[9]   DETECTION OF 18.6 YEAR NODAL INDUCED DROUGHT IN THE PATAGONIAN ANDES [J].
CURRIE, RG .
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 1983, 10 (11) :1089-1092
[10]   SENSITIVITY OF SECULAR TRENDS IN PRECIPITATION DATA TO OBSERVATIONAL ERRORS [J].
CURRIE, RG ;
HAMEED, S .
PURE AND APPLIED GEOPHYSICS, 1990, 134 (01) :1-12