VALUE OF INFORMATION GIVEN DECISION FLEXIBILITY

被引:46
作者
MERKHOFER, MW [1 ]
机构
[1] STANFORD RES INST, MENLO PK, CA 94025 USA
关键词
PROBABILITY;
D O I
10.1287/mnsc.23.7.716
中图分类号
C93 [管理学];
学科分类号
12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;
摘要
This paper explores the effect of decision flexibility on the value of information. The usefulness of calculating the value of information under various assumptions concerning decision flexibility is illustrated with a simple economic example. An upper limit to the value of information given some level of flexibility is the expected value of perfect information given undiminished flexibility (EVPIGUF). By approximating an arbitrary smooth value function with a quadratic equation, first order characteristics of the EVPIGUF are identified. Finally, it is shown that sensitivity analysis can be used as a basis for obtaining simplified approximations for EVPIGUF's.
引用
收藏
页码:716 / 727
页数:12
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