PUBLIC RESPONSE TO HURRICANE PROBABILITY FORECASTS

被引:67
作者
BAKER, EJ
机构
[1] Department of Geography, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL
关键词
PROBABILITIES; HURRICANE; WARNING; EVACUATION;
D O I
10.1111/j.0033-0124.1995.00137.x
中图分类号
P9 [自然地理学]; K9 [地理];
学科分类号
0705 ; 070501 ;
摘要
Interviewers presented 400 residents of Pinellas County, Florida, with sets of hypothetical hurricane threats to assess the effect of hurricane probability forecasts and other risk indicators on public response to the threats. Evacuation notices from local officials were more important than other threat variables, and hurricane probabilities did little to modify that effect. Respondents appeared eo comprehend and use the probability information reasonably. Evacuation behavior in actual hurricane threats is consistent with the survey findings.
引用
收藏
页码:137 / 147
页数:11
相关论文
共 16 条
  • [1] Baker E. J., 1991, INT J MASS EMERGENCI, V9, P287
  • [2] CARTER TM, 1983, PROBABILITY HURRICAN
  • [3] DRAPER NR, 1981, APPLIED REGRESSION A
  • [4] ENGELMAN L, 1981, BMDP STATISTICAL SOF, P330
  • [5] Fishbein M, 1975, BELIEF ATTITUDE INTE
  • [6] FRANK N, 1983, COMMUNICATION
  • [7] HAHN GJ, 1966, 66C165 SCH GEN EL RE
  • [8] *HAZ MAN GROUP, 1984, BEH AN TRIST AR HURR
  • [9] Kahneman D., 1982, JUDGEMENT UNCERTAINT
  • [10] LANSFORD R, 1983, COMMUNICATION