FOCUSING TECHNIQUES - A SHORTCUT TO IMPROVING PROBABILITY JUDGMENTS

被引：36

作者：

FISCHHOFF, B ^{[1
]}

BARHILLEL, M ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] HEBREW UNIV JERUSALEM,JERUSALEM,ISRAEL

来源：

ORGANIZATIONAL BEHAVIOR AND HUMAN PERFORMANCE | 1984年 / 34卷 / 02期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1016/0030-5073(84)90002-3

中图分类号：

C93 [管理学];

学科分类号：

12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;

摘要：

引用

页码：175 / 194

页数：20

共 22 条

[1]

[Anonymous], 1982, JUDGMENT UNCERTAINTY

[2] ROLE OF SAMPLE-SIZE IN SAMPLE EVALUATION [J].

BARHILLEL, M .

ORGANIZATIONAL BEHAVIOR AND HUMAN PERFORMANCE, 1979, 24 (02) :245-257

[3] THE BASE-RATE FALLACY IN PROBABILITY JUDGMENTS [J].

BARHILLEL, M .

ACTA PSYCHOLOGICA, 1980, 44 (03) :211-233

[4]

BARHILLEL M, 1975, THESIS HEBREW U JERU

[5]

BEYTHMAROM R, 1984, JUDGMENT UNCERTAINTY

[6]

Dawes R.M., 1982, JUDGEMENT UNCERTAINT, P391

[7] SUBJECTIVE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS [J].

FISCHHOFF, B ;

SLOVIC, P ;

LICHTENSTEIN, S .

ORGANIZATIONAL BEHAVIOR AND HUMAN PERFORMANCE, 1979, 23 (03) :339-359

[8]

Fischhoff B., 1982, JUDGMENT UNCERTAINTY

[9] THE EFFECTS OF BASE RATES AND INDIVIDUATING INFORMATION ON JUDGMENTS ABOUT ANOTHER PERSON [J].

GINOSAR, Z ;

TROPE, Y .

JOURNAL OF EXPERIMENTAL SOCIAL PSYCHOLOGY, 1980, 16 (03) :228-242

[10] CASE OF RADICAL PROBABILITY ESTIMATION [J].

HAMMERTON, M .

JOURNAL OF EXPERIMENTAL PSYCHOLOGY, 1973, 101 (02) :252-254

← 1 2 3 →