THE ACCURACY OF COMBINING JUDGMENTAL AND STATISTICAL FORECASTS

被引:115
作者
LAWRENCE, MJ
EDMUNDSON, RH
OCONNOR, MJ
机构
关键词
D O I
10.1287/mnsc.32.12.1521
中图分类号
C93 [管理学];
学科分类号
12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;
摘要
引用
收藏
页码:1521 / 1532
页数:12
相关论文
共 18 条
[1]  
ASHTON RH, 1982, ACCOUNTING RES STUDI, V17
[2]   COMBINATION OF FORECASTS [J].
BATES, JM ;
GRANGER, CWJ .
OPERATIONAL RESEARCH QUARTERLY, 1969, 20 (04) :451-&
[3]   SYNTHESIS OF PREDICTIVE MODELS IN MARKETING-RESEARCH [J].
BUNN, DW .
JOURNAL OF MARKETING RESEARCH, 1979, 16 (02) :280-283
[4]   EVALUATION OF EXTRAPOLATIVE FORECASTING METHODS - RESULTS OF A SURVEY OF ACADEMICIANS AND PRACTITIONERS [J].
CARBONE, R ;
ARMSTRONG, JS .
JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 1982, 1 (02) :215-217
[5]   COMPARING FOR DIFFERENT TIME-SERIES METHODS THE VALUE OF TECHNICAL EXPERTISE INDIVIDUALIZED ANALYSIS, AND JUDGMENTAL ADJUSTMENT [J].
CARBONE, R ;
ANDERSEN, A ;
CORRIVEAU, Y ;
CORSON, PP .
MANAGEMENT SCIENCE, 1983, 29 (05) :559-566
[6]   EXPERT MEASUREMENT AND MECHANICAL COMBINATION [J].
EINHORN, HJ .
ORGANIZATIONAL BEHAVIOR AND HUMAN PERFORMANCE, 1972, 7 (01) :86-106
[7]   MANAGERIAL JUDGMENT IN MARKETING - THE CONCEPT OF EXPERTISE [J].
LARRECHE, JC ;
MOINPOUR, R .
JOURNAL OF MARKETING RESEARCH, 1983, 20 (02) :110-121
[8]   AN EXPLORATION OF SOME PRACTICAL ISSUES IN THE USE OF QUANTITATIVE FORECASTING MODELS [J].
LAWRENCE, MJ .
JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 1983, 2 (02) :169-179
[9]  
Lawrence MJ., 1985, INT J FORECASTING, V1, P25, DOI [10.1016/S0169-2070(85)80068-6, DOI 10.1016/S0169-2070(85)80068-6]
[10]   FORECASTING ACCURACY AND THE ASSUMPTION OF CONSTANCY [J].
MAKRIDAKIS, S .
OMEGA-INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF MANAGEMENT SCIENCE, 1981, 9 (03) :307-311