POISSON-DISTRIBUTION AND YEARS OF BAD MONSOON OVER INDIA

被引:8
作者
MOOLEY, DA
PARTHASARATHY, B
机构
[1] Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, 411 005, Ramdurg House
来源
ARCHIV FUR METEOROLOGIE GEOPHYSIK UND BIOKLIMATOLOGIE SERIE B-KLIMATOLOGIE UMWELTMETEOROLOGIE STRAHLUNGSFORSCHUNG | 1979年 / 27卷 / 04期
关键词
D O I
10.1007/BF02246656
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
On the basis of all available record, a series of summer monsoon rainfall of India as a whole has been obtained for the period 1841 to 1977. Years of bad monsoon over the country have been identified. It has been shown that the occurrences of bad monsoon years are random events in the time continuum and that the number of bad monson years in a five-year period is distributed according to the Poisson probability law. A bad monsoon year dislocates the country's economy. To avoid this the country may provide adequate funds keeping in view the probability of getting bad monsson year(s) in a five-year period. © 1979 Springer-Verlag.
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页码:381 / 388
页数:8
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