PROBABILISTIC LOAD FLOW TECHNIQUES APPLIED TO POWER-SYSTEM EXPANSION PLANNING

被引：80

作者：

DASILVA, AML ^{[1
]}

RIBEIRO, SMP ^{[1
]}

ARIENTI, VL ^{[1
]}

ALLAN, RN ^{[1
]}

DOCOUTTO, MB ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] CEPEL, ELECT POWER RES CTR, DEPT SYST, RIO DE JANEIRO, BRAZIL

来源：

IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS | 1990年 / 5卷 / 04期

关键词：

composite reliability evaluation; power system planning; Probabilistic load flow;

D O I：

10.1109/59.99351

中图分类号：

TM [电工技术]; TN [电子技术、通信技术];

学科分类号：

0808 ; 0809 ;

摘要：

This paper presents an application of the probabilistic load flow (PLF) techniques to the expansion planning of power systems. A brief review of the PLF formulation and solution is included to identify differences between this technique and other available tools such as composite generation and transmission reliability evaluation algorithms. The potential of the PLF technique is demonstrated by a case study using the Brazilian North/Northeastern system. The network expansion planning of an area of this system is studied using a conventional load flow program and the results compared with those obtained from a PLF program that models generation capacity unavaiiabilities and peak load uncertainties. The significant differences demonstrate the benefits of the PLF technique. Special emphasis is given to short and long term modeling using analyses of real system load data. © 1990 IEEE

引用

页码：1047 / 1053

页数：7

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