A REAL-TIME ROUTING MODEL FOR HAZARDOUS MATERIALS

被引:10
作者
BEROGGI, GEG [1 ]
机构
[1] SWISS FED INST TECHNOL,POLYPROJECT RISK & SAFETY TECHNOL SYST,CH-8092 ZURICH,SWITZERLAND
关键词
CONTROL; TRANSPORTATION; MATERIALS; DECISION; BEHAVIOR;
D O I
10.1016/0377-2217(94)90293-3
中图分类号
C93 [管理学];
学科分类号
12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;
摘要
Experiences in hazardous materials transportation show that purely strategic or planning approaches have considerable shortcomings and that real-time management must be addressed. The commercialization of advanced location and communications technology provides the basis for real-time guidance. Considering the possibilities this new technology offers, a real-time routing model is proposed. It is based on the premises that a human dispatcher must assess the impacts of sudden events on safety and transportation costs and evaluate safe and cost-effective routing alternatives. Due to high uncertainty and time constraints in this real-time environment, risks and transportation costs are expressed as preferences on an ordinal scale. The model has been integrated into a decision support system and assessed in an experimental setting. This ordinal preference model turned out to be superior to a utility approach due to its robustness in risk assessment and route selection.
引用
收藏
页码:508 / 520
页数:13
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