STABILITY AND AGREEMENT CRITERIA FOR THE TERMINATION OF DELPHI STUDIES

被引:201
作者
DAJANI, JS
SINCOFF, MZ
TALLEY, WK
机构
[1] OLD DOMINION UNIV,NORFOLK,VA 23508
[2] CELANESE CORP,CHEM GRP,NEW YORK,NY
关键词
D O I
10.1016/0040-1625(79)90007-6
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This paper addresses the question of the methodology of testing for stability between successive Delphi rounds and the necessity of doing so prior to the analysis of the level or type of consensus. Following a discussion of a hierarchical set of a criteria for determining the termination of such studies, the paper reviews some of the more common treatments of the subject in the literature. It is finally proposed that a χ2 test be used to test the stability of responses between rounds. The method is demonstrated by a numerical example. © 1979.
引用
收藏
页码:83 / 90
页数:8
相关论文
共 9 条
[1]  
DAJANI JS, 1975, AM SOC CIV ENG J URB, V101, P49
[2]  
DALKEY NC, 1969, RM4888PR RAND CORP
[3]   PREDICTION OF AIR-TRAVEL AND AIRCRAFT TECHNOLOGY TO YEAR 2000 USING DELPHI METHOD [J].
ENGLISH, JM ;
KERNAN, GL .
TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH, 1976, 10 (01) :1-8
[4]   DELPHI PROCESS IN MARKETING DECISION MAKING [J].
JOLSON, MA ;
ROSSOW, GL .
JOURNAL OF MARKETING RESEARCH, 1971, 8 (04) :443-448
[5]  
Ludlow J., 1975, DELPHI METHOD TECHNI, P102
[6]   LOGNORMALITY OF DELPHI ESTIMATES [J].
MARTINO, JP .
TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE, 1970, 1 (04) :355-358
[7]  
Scheibe M., 1975, DELPHI METHOD TECHNI, P267
[8]   USING DELPHI METHOD TO ASSESS COMMUNITY-HEALTH NEEDS [J].
SCHOEMAN, MEF ;
MAHAJAN, V .
TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE, 1977, 10 (02) :203-210
[9]  
YAMANE T, 1967, STATISTICS INTRO ANA