TECHNICAL PROGRESS AND CLIMATIC-CHANGE

被引:25
作者
AUSUBEL, JH
机构
[1] Program for the Human Environment, The Rockefeller University, New York, NY 10021-6399, NR 403
关键词
TECHNICAL PROGRESS; TECHNOLOGICAL TRAJECTORIES; CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION;
D O I
10.1016/0301-4215(95)90166-5
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
The global warming debate has neglected and thus underestimated the importance of technical change in considering reduction in greenhouse gases and adaptation to climate change, Relevant quantitative cases of long-run technical change during the past 100 years are presented in computing, communications, transport, energy, and agriculture, A noteworthy technological trajectory is that of decarbonization, or decreasing carbon intensity of primary energy, If human societies have not yet reached the end of the history of technology, the cost structure for mitigation and adaptation changes could be cheap.
引用
收藏
页码:411 / 416
页数:6
相关论文
共 19 条
[1]  
ANGELUCCI E, 1977, PRACTICAL GUIDE WORL
[2]   CARBON-DIOXIDE EMISSIONS IN A METHANE ECONOMY [J].
AUSUBEL, JH ;
GRUBLER, A ;
NAKICENOVIC, N .
CLIMATIC CHANGE, 1988, 12 (03) :245-263
[3]  
Cerf C., 1984, EXPERTS SPEAK DEFINI
[4]  
Darmstaedter L., 1908, HDB GESCHICHTE NATUR
[5]  
GREY CG, 1969, JANES ALL WORLDS AIR
[6]  
Grubler A, 1990, RISE FALL INFRASTRUC
[7]  
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 1990, CLIM CHANG IPCC SCI
[8]   A POTENTIALLY REALIZABLE QUANTUM COMPUTER [J].
LLOYD, S .
SCIENCE, 1993, 261 (5128) :1569-1571
[9]  
LOTKA AJ, 1924, ELEMENTS PHYSICAL BI